Fannie Bay R4

16:24Fusion Exhibitions Rosebowl Hcp (70)
1300mRestricted 70Rail: True
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 7 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Fusion Exhibitions Rosebowl Hcp (70)a 1300m restricted 70 at Fannie Bay, jumping at 16:24 on ground, rail true. 14 runners engaged.

At the trip

Fannie Bay has staged 63 races at 1300m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 39 of 63 (61.9% win share); Wide (10+) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.60 (4 from 47).
  • Pace: no workable sample in this category.
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 29 of 63 (46.0% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.54 (6 from 213).
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 519 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers 61 runnings — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Inside (1–4) again on top: A/E 1.04 (39 from 238).
  • Pace: too little data within this cut to read.
  • Market: edge tilts to Pop ($2–5) — A/E 0.83 (28 from 118); overall it's Odds-on (≤$2).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Together, Hannah Le Blanc × Tommy Logan are 5 from 22 (22.7%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #4 Self Serve here.
  • Jockey Jason Lyon: 16 from 91 (17.6%) in the last 90 days — rides #12 Field Of Praise, #13 Sass here.
  • Jockey Jarrod Todd: 13 from 77 (16.9%) in the last 90 days (5 of those in the last 30) — rides #11 Villa Royale here.
  • Trainer Chloe Baxter: 7 from 33 (21.2%) in the last 90 days — saddles #13 Sass here.
  • Trainer G Clarke: 10 from 63 (15.9%) in the last 90 days (5 of those in the last 30) — saddles #11 Villa Royale here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1300m · 63 races (63 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)2453961.9%15.9%1.01
Middle (5–9)2282031.7%8.8%0.63
Wide (10+)4746.3%8.5%0.60

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)100%0%0.00
Unknown51963100%12.1%0.82

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)14812.7%57.1%1.05
Pop ($2–5)1212946%24%0.83
Mid ($5–10)1722031.7%11.6%0.85
Roughie (>$10)21369.5%2.8%0.54

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.