Fannie Bay R3

15:49Rydges Palmerston Hcp (62)
1300mRestricted 62Rail: True
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 7 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Rydges Palmerston Hcp (62)a 1300m restricted 62 at Fannie Bay, jumping at 15:49 on ground, rail true. 12 runners engaged.

At the trip

Fannie Bay has staged 63 races at 1300m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 39 of 63 (61.9% win share); Wide (10+) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.60 (4 from 47).
  • Pace: no workable sample in this category.
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 29 of 63 (46.0% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.54 (6 from 213).
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 519 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers 61 runnings — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Inside (1–4) again on top: A/E 1.04 (39 from 238).
  • Pace: too little data within this cut to read.
  • Market: edge tilts to Pop ($2–5) — A/E 0.83 (28 from 118); overall it's Odds-on (≤$2).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Together, Lek Maloney × Ms K Petrick are 10 from 40 (25.0%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #6 Dolce D'amour here.
  • Jockey Jason Lyon: 16 from 91 (17.6%) in the last 90 days — rides #7 Miami Baby here.
  • Jockey Deborah Barton: 10 from 48 (20.8%) in the last 90 days — rides #10 No I'm Not here.
  • Trainer Chloe Baxter: 7 from 33 (21.2%) in the last 90 days — saddles #7 Miami Baby, #8 Sass here.
  • Trainer Terry Gillett: 6 from 31 (19.4%) in the last 90 days — saddles #3 Romantic Love here.
  • Trainer K J Lamprecht is 8 from 42 at today’s meeting profile (19.0% strike, A/E 1.21) and has #1 Daniher here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1300m · 63 races (63 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)2453961.9%15.9%1.01
Middle (5–9)2282031.7%8.8%0.63
Wide (10+)4746.3%8.5%0.60

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)100%0%0.00
Unknown51963100%12.1%0.82

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)14812.7%57.1%1.05
Pop ($2–5)1212946%24%0.83
Mid ($5–10)1722031.7%11.6%0.85
Roughie (>$10)21369.5%2.8%0.54

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.