Fannie Bay R1

14:39Airnorth Hcp (66)
1100mRestricted 66Rail: True
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 7 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Airnorth Hcp (66)a 1100m restricted 66 at Fannie Bay, jumping at 14:39 on ground, rail true. 9 runners engaged.

At the trip

Fannie Bay has staged 61 races at 1100m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 34 of 61 (55.7% win share); the value band has been Wide (10+) — A/E 1.61 (3 from 21).
  • Pace: no workable sample in this category.
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 37 of 61 (60.7% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.34 (3 from 158).
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 436 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers 60 runnings — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Wide (10+) again on top: A/E 1.26 (2 from 17).
  • Pace: too little data within this cut to read.
  • Market: edge tilts to Pop ($2–5) — A/E 0.91 (37 from 141); overall it's Odds-on (≤$2).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Together, Lek Maloney × Ms K Petrick are 10 from 40 (25.0%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #1 Auxiliary here.
  • Together, Hannah Le Blanc × Tommy Logan are 5 from 22 (22.7%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #5 Jumping Power Two here.
  • Jockey Jason Lyon: 16 from 91 (17.6%) in the last 90 days — rides #9 La Boqueria here.
  • Jockey Deborah Barton: 10 from 48 (20.8%) in the last 90 days — rides #8 Littlebourkestreet here.
  • Trainer Chloe Baxter: 7 from 33 (21.2%) in the last 90 days — saddles #9 La Boqueria here.
  • Trainer K J Lamprecht is 8 from 42 at today’s meeting profile (19.0% strike, A/E 1.21) and has #2 Down The Wicket here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1100m · 61 races (61 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)2403455.7%14.2%0.73
Middle (5–9)1782439.3%13.5%0.93
Wide (10+)2134.9%14.3%1.61

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)311.6%33.3%1.86
Unknown4366098.4%13.8%0.82

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)121016.4%83.3%1.46
Pop ($2–5)1423760.7%26.1%0.91
Mid ($5–10)1271118%8.7%0.62
Roughie (>$10)15834.9%1.9%0.34

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.