Ballarat Synthetic R1

11:50Global Turf Mdn Plate
1000mMaidenRail: TrueEarly preview · published 2 July 14:42 AEST — updated race morning
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Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (2 July 14:42 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.
Early model rankings — previewearly predictions · not final
Early model predictions only. These WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updates — the final day's predictions and commentary are published race morning.
Early model — previewEarly predictions — will change with final scratchings, jockeys and track conditionEntropy2.92top 3
Ranked 1st
12. Heat Map
Rose Hammond (10)
Ranked 2nd
3. Nar Nar Goon
Ruby Lamont (2)
Ranked 3rd
2. Morning Ralph
Holly Durnan (9)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
No data2
no recent settle
11 Chadlington(5)
8 Jundah(12)
Backmarkers1
settle 11+
13 Postcards(6)
Midfield4
settle 7–10
14 I'm A Dream Girl(1)
15 Prized Magic(4)
12 Heat Map(10)
10 Vosstaniya(13)
On-pace5
settle 3–6
3 Nar Nar Goon(2)
4 Cabaret Queen(3)
6 Fake Fiction(8)
2 Morning Ralph(9)
7 Filigree Shadow(11)
Leaders1
pushing for the lead
1 Excelaot(7)

Historical overview

Across the 35 sampled runnings of 1000m at Ballarat Synthetic: Leaders (settle 1–3) — 21 of 35 winners (60.0% of winners, 21.2% strike, 1.03 A/E). From the gates, Middle (5–9) — 16 of 35 winners (45.7% of winners, 11.9% strike, 0.82 A/E).

Today's going is not yet confirmed, so no going-specific split is shown — the broad sample above carries the read until race morning.

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 5 from 7 (71.4% strike, 1.11 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 11.4% of winners.

Historical leans

  • Leaders (settle 1–3) is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Middle (5–9) barriers lead the draw splits
  • Short-priced runners have historically held their market at this trip

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Full speed-map read and model picks arrive race morning, once final scratchings and track condition are known.

Distance stats

Distance
1000m · 35 races (35 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1321542.9%11.4%0.78
Middle (5–9)1351645.7%11.9%0.82
Wide (10+)30411.4%13.3%1.36

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)992160%21.2%1.03
On-pace (4–6)96925.7%9.4%0.73
Midfield (7–10)7425.7%2.7%0.33
Backmarkers (11+)1012.9%10%1.59
Unknown1825.7%11.1%0.88

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)7514.3%71.4%1.11
Pop ($2–5)732160%28.8%0.94
Mid ($5–10)61514.3%8.2%0.60
Roughie (>$10)156411.4%2.6%0.62