HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← Ballarat SyntheticFriday 3 July 2026

Ballarat Synthetic R4

13:35Brandt (Bm52)
1500mBenchmark 52Rail: TrueEarly preview · published 2 July 14:42 AEST — updated race morning
Races123456789
Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (2 July 14:42 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.
Early model rankings — previewearly predictions · not final
Early model predictions only. These WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updates — the final day's predictions and commentary are published race morning.
Early model — previewEarly predictions — will change with final scratchings, jockeys and track conditionEntropy2.86top 3
Ranked 1st
16. Eau De Cologne
(3)
Ranked 2nd
13. Sweater Girl
John Allen (9)
Ranked 3rd
14. Flying Jude
(12)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
Backmarkers3
settle 11+
8 Bless The Fleet(1)
12 Masina(4)
7 Ruscello(13)
Midfield6
settle 7–10
16 Eau De Cologne(3)
10 Timbolton(5)
2 Solar Mist(6)
6 Surely Special(10)
11 Wild Vitality(11)
15 Don'tcallmechamp(14)
On-pace3
settle 3–6
3 Thoughtful(7)
9 Friday Folly(8)
14 Flying Jude(12)
Leaders3
pushing for the lead
4 Dissalto(2)
13 Sweater Girl(9)
5 Limbering(15)

Historical overview

Across the 30 sampled runnings of 1500m at Ballarat Synthetic: Leaders (settle 1–3) — 12 of 30 winners (40.0% of winners, 14.3% strike, 0.86 A/E). No winner in this sample settled 11+ back. From the gates, Middle (5–9) — 12 of 30 winners (40.0% of winners, 9.5% strike, 0.83 A/E).

Today's going is not yet confirmed, so no going-specific split is shown — the broad sample above carries the read until race morning.

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 8 from 9 (88.9% strike, 1.6 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 13.3% of winners.

Historical leans

  • Leaders (settle 1–3) is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Middle (5–9) barriers lead the draw splits
  • Short-priced runners have historically held their market at this trip

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Full speed-map read and model picks arrive race morning, once final scratchings and track condition are known.

Distance stats

Distance
1500m · 30 races (30 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)991136.7%11.1%0.83
Middle (5–9)1261240%9.5%0.83
Wide (10+)70723.3%10%0.88

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)841240%14.3%0.86
On-pace (4–6)821033.3%12.2%0.92
Midfield (7–10)86620%7%0.83
Backmarkers (11+)2300%0%0.00
Unknown2026.7%10%0.75

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)9826.7%88.9%1.60
Pop ($2–5)561136.7%19.6%0.67
Mid ($5–10)61723.3%11.5%0.85
Roughie (>$10)169413.3%2.4%0.66