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← Ballarat SyntheticFriday 3 July 2026

Ballarat Synthetic R2

12:25Global Turf Special Ballot Mdn Plate (Qc)
1200mMaidenRail: TrueEarly preview · published 2 July 14:42 AEST — updated race morning
Races123456789
Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (2 July 14:42 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.
Early model rankings — previewearly predictions · not final
Early model predictions only. These WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updates — the final day's predictions and commentary are published race morning.
Early model — previewEarly predictions — will change with final scratchings, jockeys and track conditionEntropy3.37top 3
Ranked 1st
17. Aqua Storm
Jack Hill (8)
Ranked 2nd
6. Sweatband
John Allen (15)
Ranked 3rd
10. Saraya
Chelsea Taylor (6)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
Backmarkers3
settle 11+
1 Atomic Tommy(7)
15 Street Legend(9)
2 Daniel Boone(18)
Midfield9
settle 7–10
7 Bologna Baby(1)
5 Specky Boy(3)
11 Sunflower Liv(5)
17 Aqua Storm(8)
8 Figurante(11)
18 Don't Doubt Dottie(14)
6 Sweatband(15)
14 Lady Courrege(16)
16 The Toronado Kid(17)
On-pace4
settle 3–6
13 Grandstraz(2)
12 Tennessee Lass(4)
3 Flying Shelby(10)
4 Renege(13)
Leaders2
pushing for the lead
10 Saraya(6)
9 Regal Time(12)

Historical overview

Across the 45 sampled runnings of 1200m at Ballarat Synthetic: Leaders (settle 1–3) — 20 of 45 winners (44.4% of winners, 16.7% strike, 0.9 A/E). No winner in this sample settled 11+ back. From the gates, Middle (5–9) — 21 of 45 winners (46.7% of winners, 12.2% strike, 0.95 A/E).

Today's going is not yet confirmed, so no going-specific split is shown — the broad sample above carries the read until race morning.

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 11 from 22 (50.0% strike, 0.77 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 17.8% of winners.

Historical leans

  • Leaders (settle 1–3) is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Middle (5–9) barriers lead the draw splits
  • Favourites underperform their market share at this trip on this sample

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Full speed-map read and model picks arrive race morning, once final scratchings and track condition are known.

Distance stats

Distance
1200m · 45 races (45 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1572044.4%12.7%0.84
Middle (5–9)1722146.7%12.2%0.95
Wide (10+)7248.9%5.6%0.49

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)1202044.4%16.7%0.90
On-pace (4–6)1161533.3%12.9%0.96
Midfield (7–10)95511.1%5.3%0.56
Backmarkers (11+)1500%0%0.00
Unknown55511.1%9.1%0.79

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)221124.4%50%0.77
Pop ($2–5)661328.9%19.7%0.70
Mid ($5–10)911328.9%14.3%1.06
Roughie (>$10)222817.8%3.6%0.90