HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← Gold CoastSaturday 4 July 2026

Gold Coast R4

13:50Goondiwindi RC July 18th Hcp (C2)
1015mClass 2Rail: +9mEarly preview · published 3 July 14:12 AEST — updated race morning
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Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (3 July 14:12 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.
Early model rankings — previewearly predictions · not final
Early model predictions only. These WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updates — the final day's predictions and commentary are published race morning.
Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy3.47top 3
Ranked 1st
4. Gram
Bella Youngberry (5)
Ranked 2nd
1. American Conquest
Karl Zechner (11)
Ranked 3rd
11. Cat Call
Brandon Lerena (13)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
Backmarkers1
settle 11+
12 Autumngirl(6)
Midfield8
settle 7–10
9 Zaindara(1)
10 Twoexcel(2)
15 Master Miyagi(4)
14 Chayse'n'scotty(7)
5 Hi Tiago(10)
1 American Conquest(11)
11 Cat Call(13)
6 Vesper Lynd(14)
On-pace3
settle 3–6
7 Cherrabah(3)
8 Lovecats(8)
13 Prestige Pak(9)
Leaders3
pushing for the lead
4 Gram(5)
2 Kirksville(12)
3 Miss Force(15)

Historical overview

Across the 64 sampled runnings of 1015m at Gold Coast: Leaders (settle 1–3) — 38 of 64 winners (59.4% of winners, 21.1% strike, 1.18 A/E). From the gates, Inside (1–4) — 38 of 64 winners (59.4% of winners, 15.3% strike, 0.89 A/E).

Narrowed to today's rail position (1015m · +9m ±1m, 10 races): Leaders (settle 1–3) — 6 of 10 winners (60.0% of winners, 20.0% strike, 1.18 A/E).

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 6 from 14 (42.9% strike, 0.71 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 14.1% of winners.

Historical leans

  • Leaders (settle 1–3) is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Inside (1–4) barriers lead the draw splits
  • Favourites underperform their market share at this trip on this sample

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Full speed-map read and model picks arrive race morning, once final scratchings and track condition are known.

Distance stats

Distance
1015m · 64 races (64 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)2483859.4%15.3%0.89
Middle (5–9)2612437.5%9.2%0.77
Wide (10+)4023.1%5%0.56

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)1803859.4%21.1%1.18
On-pace (4–6)1791625%8.9%0.62
Midfield (7–10)14369.4%4.2%0.41
Backmarkers (11+)800%0%0.00
Unknown3946.2%10.3%0.79

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)1469.4%42.9%0.71
Pop ($2–5)1393351.6%23.7%0.82
Mid ($5–10)1251625%12.8%0.95
Roughie (>$10)271914.1%3.3%0.74