HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← Gold CoastSaturday 4 July 2026

Gold Coast R5

14:25Tasmanian RC July 19th Hcp
1800mOpenRail: +9mEarly preview · published 3 July 14:12 AEST — updated race morning
Races12345678
Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (3 July 14:12 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.
Early model rankings — previewearly predictions · not final
Early model predictions only. These WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updates — the final day's predictions and commentary are published race morning.
Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy2.97top 3
Ranked 1st
2. Galano
Jett Newman (10)
Ranked 2nd
4. Leg Drive
Frederick Larson (1)
Ranked 3rd
7. Forty Times
Karl Zechner (8)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
Backmarkers2
settle 11+
3 Chayse 'n' Artie(2)
9 Picko Rocks(7)
Midfield4
settle 7–10
5 October(4)
6 Connecticut(6)
7 Forty Times(8)
8 Bovidae(9)
On-pace4
settle 3–6
4 Leg Drive(1)
1 The Right Way(3)
10 Contreras(5)
2 Galano(10)
Leaders0
pushing for the lead
—

Historical overview

Across the 45 sampled runnings of 1800m at Gold Coast: On-pace (settle 4–6) — 18 of 45 winners (40.0% of winners, 13.6% strike, 1.04 A/E). From the gates, Middle (5–9) — 17 of 45 winners (37.8% of winners, 8.5% strike, 0.7 A/E).

Today's going is not yet confirmed, so no going-specific split is shown — the broad sample above carries the read until race morning.

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 3 from 3 (100.0% strike, 1.72 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 11.1% of winners.

Historical leans

  • On-pace (settle 4–6) is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Middle (5–9) barriers lead the draw splits
  • Short-priced runners have historically held their market at this trip

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Full speed-map read and model picks arrive race morning, once final scratchings and track condition are known.

Distance stats

Distance
1800m · 45 races (45 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1651533.3%9.1%0.69
Middle (5–9)2001737.8%8.5%0.70
Wide (10+)971328.9%13.4%1.50

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)1321226.7%9.1%0.66
On-pace (4–6)1321840%13.6%1.04
Midfield (7–10)146920%6.2%0.61
Backmarkers (11+)41511.1%12.2%1.58
Unknown1112.2%9.1%0.82

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)336.7%100%1.72
Pop ($2–5)952964.4%30.5%1.07
Mid ($5–10)103817.8%7.8%0.58
Roughie (>$10)261511.1%1.9%0.41