HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← Gold CoastSaturday 4 July 2026

Gold Coast R7

15:40Warwick TC August 4th (Bm65)
1400mBenchmark 65Rail: +9mEarly preview · published 3 July 14:12 AEST — updated race morning
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Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (3 July 14:12 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.
Early model rankings — previewearly predictions · not final
Early model predictions only. These WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updates — the final day's predictions and commentary are published race morning.
Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy3.25top 3
Ranked 1st
7. Davikar
Jasper Franklin (6)
Ranked 2nd
4. Puff 'n' Harry
Brandon Lerena (2)
Ranked 3rd
1. Bruckheimer
Bailey Wheeler (11)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
Backmarkers2
settle 11+
12 Our Orator(4)
2 Cool Music(10)
Midfield5
settle 7–10
7 Davikar(6)
11 Toolatemate(7)
9 Maple Door(8)
3 Pressalong(9)
1 Bruckheimer(11)
On-pace4
settle 3–6
10 Out Of Luck(1)
4 Puff 'n' Harry(2)
6 Chicago King(3)
5 Sukhbir(12)
Leaders1
pushing for the lead
8 Lumens Lenny(5)

Historical overview

Across the 76 sampled runnings of 1400m at Gold Coast: Leaders (settle 1–3) — 37 of 76 winners (48.7% of winners, 17.4% strike, 1.19 A/E). From the gates, Middle (5–9) — 29 of 76 winners (38.2% of winners, 8.9% strike, 0.74 A/E).

Narrowed to today's rail position (1400m · +9m ±1m, 9 races): Leaders (settle 1–3) — 4 of 9 winners (44.4% of winners, 14.8% strike, 1.17 A/E).

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 2 from 7 (28.6% strike, 0.47 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 19.7% of winners.

Historical leans

  • Leaders (settle 1–3) is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Middle (5–9) barriers lead the draw splits

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Full speed-map read and model picks arrive race morning, once final scratchings and track condition are known.

Distance stats

Distance
1400m · 76 races (76 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)2952735.5%9.2%0.75
Middle (5–9)3262938.2%8.9%0.74
Wide (10+)1982026.3%10.1%1.15

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)2133748.7%17.4%1.19
On-pace (4–6)2111722.4%8.1%0.66
Midfield (7–10)2351418.4%6%0.60
Backmarkers (11+)11633.9%2.6%0.46
Unknown4456.6%11.4%0.82

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)722.6%28.6%0.47
Pop ($2–5)1463647.4%24.7%0.84
Mid ($5–10)1862330.3%12.4%0.91
Roughie (>$10)4801519.7%3.1%0.74