HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← Sunshine CoastSaturday 4 July 2026

Sunshine Coast R1

12:23Caloundra RSL (Bm70)
1200mBenchmark 70Rail: TrueEarly preview · published 3 July 14:12 AEST — updated race morning
Races123456789
Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (3 July 14:12 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.
Early model rankings — previewearly predictions · not final
Early model predictions only. These WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updates — the final day's predictions and commentary are published race morning.
Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy3.52top 3
Ranked 1st
6. Ruins Of Rome
Benjamin Osmond (13)
Ranked 2nd
3. Livalittle
Leah Martyn (1)
Ranked 3rd
13. Fasvara
Dylan Gibbons (12)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
Backmarkers3
settle 11+
12 Contilda's Love(4)
15 Bruckheimer(7)
4 Belthil(8)
Midfield6
settle 7–10
3 Livalittle(1)
16 Tornado Express(2)
17 Fighting Idol(5)
14 Rose Noir(9)
13 Fasvara(12)
7 Sultry Siren(14)
On-pace5
settle 3–6
22 Atomic Selfie(6)
21 I Miss Margie(10)
19 Hellarious(11)
6 Ruins Of Rome(13)
2 Jack Be Lucky(15)
Leaders1
pushing for the lead
11 Seneschal(3)

Historical overview

Across the 88 sampled runnings of 1200m at Sunshine Coast: Unknown — 30 of 88 winners (34.1% of winners, 10.6% strike, 0.82 A/E). From the gates, Inside (1–4) — 44 of 88 winners (50.0% of winners, 13.3% strike, 0.87 A/E).

Narrowed to today's rail position (1200m · True, 18 races): Unknown — 10 of 18 winners (55.6% of winners, 10.8% strike, 0.82 A/E).

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 10 from 19 (52.6% strike, 0.92 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 17.0% of winners.

Historical leans

  • Unknown is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Inside (1–4) barriers lead the draw splits
  • Favourites underperform their market share at this trip on this sample

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Full speed-map read and model picks arrive race morning, once final scratchings and track condition are known.

Distance stats

Distance
1200m · 88 races (88 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)3324450%13.3%0.87
Middle (5–9)3403236.4%9.4%0.78
Wide (10+)1511213.6%7.9%0.81

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)1742933%16.7%1.01
On-pace (4–6)1682022.7%11.9%0.83
Midfield (7–10)16189.1%5%0.55
Backmarkers (11+)3611.1%2.8%0.42
Unknown2843034.1%10.6%0.82

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)191011.4%52.6%0.92
Pop ($2–5)1843944.3%21.2%0.73
Mid ($5–10)1782427.3%13.5%1.01
Roughie (>$10)4421517%3.4%0.82