HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← Sunshine CoastSaturday 4 July 2026

Sunshine Coast R3

13:33Access Insulation Bruce McLachlan Classic
1000mOpenRail: TrueEarly preview · published 3 July 14:12 AEST — updated race morning
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Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (3 July 14:12 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.
Early model rankings — previewearly predictions · not final
Early model predictions only. These WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updates — the final day's predictions and commentary are published race morning.
Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy3.53top 3
Ranked 1st
8. Make Me Great
Leslie Tilley (4)
Ranked 2nd
2. Areprice
Corey Sutherland (13)
Ranked 3rd
16. My Girl Marley
Robbie Dolan (11)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
No data3
no recent settle
15 Queen Olympias(2)
8 Make Me Great(4)
9 Twice Better(6)
Backmarkers2
settle 11+
11 My Utopia(3)
17 Hen's Night(10)
Midfield5
settle 7–10
5 Sling(1)
4 Tengun Tommy(7)
16 My Girl Marley(11)
14 Dreams Don't Die(14)
13 Cascading(15)
On-pace3
settle 3–6
6 Fearless Win(12)
2 Areprice(13)
7 Lady Of Five(16)
Leaders3
pushing for the lead
1 Itchintogo(5)
10 Scartoon(8)
3 On The Clock(9)

Historical overview

Across the 130 sampled runnings of 1000m at Sunshine Coast: Leaders (settle 1–3) — 54 of 130 winners (41.5% of winners, 18.4% strike, 1.02 A/E). No winner in this sample settled 11+ back. From the gates, Inside (1–4) — 61 of 130 winners (46.9% of winners, 12.4% strike, 0.82 A/E).

Narrowed to today's rail position (1000m · True, 25 races): Leaders (settle 1–3) — 10 of 25 winners (40.0% of winners, 17.5% strike, 1.13 A/E).

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 23 from 40 (57.5% strike, 0.95 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 11.5% of winners.

Historical leans

  • Leaders (settle 1–3) is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Inside (1–4) barriers lead the draw splits
  • Favourites underperform their market share at this trip on this sample

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Full speed-map read and model picks arrive race morning, once final scratchings and track condition are known.

Distance stats

Distance
1000m · 130 races (130 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)4926146.9%12.4%0.82
Middle (5–9)4865542.3%11.3%0.81
Wide (10+)1811410.8%7.7%0.93

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)2945441.5%18.4%1.02
On-pace (4–6)2862720.8%9.4%0.66
Midfield (7–10)2331713.1%7.3%0.78
Backmarkers (11+)6900%0%0.00
Unknown2773224.6%11.6%0.82

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)402317.7%57.5%0.95
Pop ($2–5)2416046.2%24.9%0.86
Mid ($5–10)2873224.6%11.1%0.82
Roughie (>$10)5911511.5%2.5%0.60