Historical overview
Across the 130 sampled runnings of 1000m at Sunshine Coast: Leaders (settle 1–3) — 54 of 130 winners (41.5% of winners, 18.4% strike, 1.02 A/E). No winner in this sample settled 11+ back. From the gates, Inside (1–4) — 61 of 130 winners (46.9% of winners, 12.4% strike, 0.82 A/E).
Narrowed to today's rail position (1000m · True, 25 races): Leaders (settle 1–3) — 10 of 25 winners (40.0% of winners, 17.5% strike, 1.13 A/E).
Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 23 from 40 (57.5% strike, 0.95 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 11.5% of winners.
Historical leans
- Leaders (settle 1–3) is the strongest settle band on the sample
- Inside (1–4) barriers lead the draw splits
- Favourites underperform their market share at this trip on this sample
Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.