HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← Sunshine CoastSaturday 4 July 2026

Sunshine Coast R2

12:58Sherrin Rentals (Bm80)
1200mBenchmark 80Rail: TrueEarly preview · published 3 July 14:12 AEST — updated race morning
Races123456789
Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (3 July 14:12 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.
Early model rankings — previewearly predictions · not final
Early model predictions only. These WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updates — the final day's predictions and commentary are published race morning.
Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy3.42top 3
Ranked 1st
6. Balance The Books
Ben E Thompson (11)
Ranked 2nd
13. Break Free
Jag Guthmann-Chester (14)
Ranked 3rd
8. Click Click Boom
Justin P Stanley (10)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
Backmarkers1
settle 11+
13 Break Free(14)
Midfield7
settle 7–10
15 Oberoi Princess(1)
7 Bonded Affair(4)
3 She's Exotic(6)
14 Whisky Dream(7)
6 Balance The Books(11)
17 Hurricane Lu(12)
10 Thelwell(13)
On-pace3
settle 3–6
16 Kadall(2)
18 Electric Arrow(9)
8 Click Click Boom(10)
Leaders3
pushing for the lead
4 Shot Of Whiskey(3)
12 Bluepinot(5)
2 En Pointe(8)

Historical overview

Across the 88 sampled runnings of 1200m at Sunshine Coast: Unknown — 30 of 88 winners (34.1% of winners, 10.6% strike, 0.82 A/E). From the gates, Inside (1–4) — 44 of 88 winners (50.0% of winners, 13.3% strike, 0.87 A/E).

Narrowed to today's rail position (1200m · True, 18 races): Unknown — 10 of 18 winners (55.6% of winners, 10.8% strike, 0.82 A/E).

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 10 from 19 (52.6% strike, 0.92 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 17.0% of winners.

Historical leans

  • Unknown is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Inside (1–4) barriers lead the draw splits
  • Favourites underperform their market share at this trip on this sample

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Full speed-map read and model picks arrive race morning, once final scratchings and track condition are known.

Distance stats

Distance
1200m · 88 races (88 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)3324450%13.3%0.87
Middle (5–9)3403236.4%9.4%0.78
Wide (10+)1511213.6%7.9%0.81

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)1742933%16.7%1.01
On-pace (4–6)1682022.7%11.9%0.83
Midfield (7–10)16189.1%5%0.55
Backmarkers (11+)3611.1%2.8%0.42
Unknown2843034.1%10.6%0.82

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)191011.4%52.6%0.92
Pop ($2–5)1843944.3%21.2%0.73
Mid ($5–10)1782427.3%13.5%1.01
Roughie (>$10)4421517%3.4%0.82