Barcaldine R5

15:07Capricorn Plumbing (Bm50)
1300mBenchmark 50Rail: True
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 5 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Capricorn Plumbing (Bm50)a 1300m benchmark 50 at Barcaldine, jumping at 15:07 on ground, rail true. 12 runners engaged.

At the trip

Barcaldine has staged 7 races at 1300m in our sample — too small to base a decision on.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 4 of 7 (57.1% win share); Middle (5–9) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.48 (2 from 30).
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 3 of 7 (42.9% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 4 of 7 (57.1% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.58 (1 from 35).

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers only 7 runnings — too small to lean on.

  • For the record: Inside (1–4) accounted for 4 of the 7 winners (4 from 26 runners, A/E 1.05) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Robert Faehr: 13 from 81 (16.0%) in the last 90 days (7 of those in the last 30) — rides #7 Miss Highfalutin here.
  • Jockey Kayla Barker: 6 from 27 (22.2%) in the last 30 days — rides #10 Step To Success here.
  • Trainer H C Forster: 10 from 40 (25.0%) in the last 90 days — saddles #3 Wayfarer's Way here.
  • Trainer Bevan Johnson: 14 from 90 (15.6%) in the last 90 days — saddles #10 Step To Success here.
  • Trainer P W O'Toole is 6 from 30 at today’s meeting profile (20.0% strike, A/E 1.51) and has #7 Miss Highfalutin, #11 Zouly here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1300m · 7 races (7 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)26457.1%15.4%1.05
Middle (5–9)30228.6%6.7%0.48
Wide (10+)10114.3%10%1.79

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)21342.9%14.3%0.85
On-pace (4–6)21228.6%9.5%0.68
Midfield (7–10)20114.3%5%0.67
Backmarkers (11+)4114.3%25%1.68

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Pop ($2–5)18457.1%22.2%0.79
Mid ($5–10)13228.6%15.4%1.12
Roughie (>$10)35114.3%2.9%0.58