Barcaldine R7

16:23Chandler Pastoral (Bm60)
1600mBenchmark 60Rail: True
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 5 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Chandler Pastoral (Bm60)a 1600m benchmark 60 at Barcaldine, jumping at 16:23 on ground, rail true. 12 runners engaged.

At the trip

Barcaldine has staged 3 races at 1600m in our sample — too small to base a decision on.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 2 of 3 (66.7% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: no workable sample in this category.
  • Market: Roughie (>$10) wins the most races here — 2 of 3 (66.7% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers only 3 runnings — too small to lean on.

  • For the record: Roughie (>$10) accounted for 2 of the 3 winners (2 from 17 runners, A/E 2.25) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Nikki Olzard: 24 from 103 (23.3%) in the last 90 days (13 of those in the last 30) — rides #7 Dwayne here.
  • Jockey Robert Faehr: 13 from 81 (16.0%) in the last 90 days (7 of those in the last 30) — rides #6 Divine Courage here.
  • Trainer Bevan Johnson: 14 from 90 (15.6%) in the last 90 days — saddles #1 Shoalwater Bay, #10 Howse here.
  • Trainer P W O'Toole is 6 from 30 at today’s meeting profile (20.0% strike, A/E 1.51) and has #11 Run Freda Run here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1600m · 3 races (3 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)12266.7%16.7%0.95
Middle (5–9)1200%0%0.00
Wide (10+)4133.3%25%3.22

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)900%0%0.00
On-pace (4–6)9266.7%22.2%1.41
Midfield (7–10)8133.3%12.5%0.96
Backmarkers (11+)200%0%0.00

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Pop ($2–5)8133.3%12.5%0.43
Mid ($5–10)300%0%0.00
Roughie (>$10)17266.7%11.8%2.25