Thomas Foods International Hcp — a 1200m open at Barcaldine, jumping at 15:43 on — ground, rail true. 13 runners engaged.
At the trip
Barcaldine has staged 7 races at 1200m in our sample — too small to base a decision on.
- Barrier draw: Wide (10+) wins the most races here — 4 of 7 (57.1% win share); Middle (5–9) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.25 (1 from 31).
- Pace: Settle position 1–3 and Settle position 7–10 win the most races here — 2 of 7 each (28.6% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Market: Roughie (>$10) wins the most races here — 3 of 7 (42.9% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.58).
- Data note: settling position is unknown for 24 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions covers only 7 runnings — too small to lean on.
- For the record: Wide (10+) accounted for 4 of the 7 winners (4 from 19 runners, A/E 1.48) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.
Jockeys & trainers
- Together, Nikki Olzard × H C Forster are 4 from 14 (28.6%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #9 I'm Zac here.
- Jockey Robert Faehr: 13 from 81 (16.0%) in the last 90 days (7 of those in the last 30) — rides #4 Scorched Land here.
- Jockey Kayla Barker: 6 from 27 (22.2%) in the last 30 days — rides #2 Magical Slipper here.
- Trainer Toni Schofield: 17 from 87 (19.5%) in the last 90 days — saddles #5 Northumbria here.
- Trainer Ms G Bell: 16 from 102 (15.7%) in the last 90 days — saddles #3 The Squire here.
- Trainer Bevan Johnson is 5 from 14 at today’s meeting profile (35.7% strike, A/E 2.46) and has #1 Hurtle, #2 Magical Slipper, #4 Scorched Land here.