J.R Richards & Sons (Bm66) — a 1700m benchmark 66 at Wellington, jumping at 14:24 on — ground, rail true. 11 runners engaged.
At the trip
Wellington has staged 5 races at 1700m in our sample — too small to base a decision on.
- Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) and Middle (5–9) win the most races here — 2 of 5 each (40.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 3 of 5 (60.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 4 of 5 (80.0% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.00 (0 from 23).
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions covers only 5 runnings — too small to lean on.
- For the record: Pop ($2–5) accounted for 4 of the 5 winners (4 from 15 runners, A/E 1.03) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.
Jockeys & trainers
- Jockey Nick Palmer: 7 from 42 (16.7%) in the last 30 days — rides #3 Like Lukey here.
- Trainer Ms J Clement: 22 from 114 (19.3%) in the last 90 days — saddles #1 Toulon Factor, #2 Delrico, #5 The Great Armada here.
- Trainer Brett Thompson is 9 from 50 at today’s meeting profile (18.0% strike, A/E 1.45) and has #4 Egyptologist here.