Wellington R5

14:59LSS Locksmith And Security Country Boosted Hcp (C2)
1400mClass 2Rail: True
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 5 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

LSS Locksmith And Security Country Boosted Hcp (C2)a 1400m class 2 at Wellington, jumping at 14:59 on ground, rail true. 16 runners engaged.

At the trip

Wellington has staged 12 races at 1400m in our sample — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 9 of 12 (75.0% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.39).
  • Pace: Settle position 4–6 wins the most races here — 5 of 12 (41.7% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.35).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 7 of 12 (58.3% win share); Mid ($5–10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.48 (2 from 32).
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 35 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers 12 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Inside (1–4) again on top: A/E 1.39 (9 from 43).
  • Pace: read holds — Settle position 4–6 again on top: A/E 1.35 (5 from 27).
  • Market: read holds — Pop ($2–5) again on top: A/E 1.09 (7 from 20).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Izzy Neale: 8 from 46 (17.4%) in the last 30 days — rides #5 Fierce Luva here.
  • Trainer Ms J Clement: 22 from 114 (19.3%) in the last 90 days — saddles #6 My Angel Shell here.
  • Trainer M D Griffith: 10 from 58 (17.2%) in the last 90 days — saddles #4 Vendor here.
  • Jockey Clayton Gallagher is 5 from 20 at today’s meeting profile (25.0% strike, A/E 1.68) and has #2 Strassman here.
  • Jockey Zoe Hunt is 4 from 24 at today’s meeting profile (16.7% strike, A/E 1.58) and has #9 Deodee here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1400m · 12 races (12 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)43975%20.9%1.39
Middle (5–9)51216.7%3.9%0.34
Wide (10+)2918.3%3.4%0.46

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)27433.3%14.8%1.12
On-pace (4–6)27541.7%18.5%1.35
Midfield (7–10)2900%0%0.00
Backmarkers (11+)500%0%0.00
Unknown35325%8.6%0.81

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)118.3%100%1.40
Pop ($2–5)20758.3%35%1.09
Mid ($5–10)32216.7%6.2%0.48
Roughie (>$10)70216.7%2.9%0.60