Wellington R3

13:49KFC Wellington Super Mdn Hcp
1400mMaidenRail: True
Races1234567

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 5 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

KFC Wellington Super Mdn Hcpa 1400m maiden at Wellington, jumping at 13:49 on ground, rail true. 15 runners engaged.

At the trip

Wellington has staged 12 races at 1400m in our sample — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 9 of 12 (75.0% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.39).
  • Pace: Settle position 4–6 wins the most races here — 5 of 12 (41.7% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.35).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 7 of 12 (58.3% win share); Mid ($5–10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.48 (2 from 32).
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 35 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers 12 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Inside (1–4) again on top: A/E 1.39 (9 from 43).
  • Pace: read holds — Settle position 4–6 again on top: A/E 1.35 (5 from 27).
  • Market: read holds — Pop ($2–5) again on top: A/E 1.09 (7 from 20).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Trainer M R Mulholland: 9 from 54 (16.7%) in the last 90 days (6 of those in the last 30) — saddles #1 Black Dynasty here.
  • Trainer Ms J Clement: 22 from 114 (19.3%) in the last 90 days — saddles #14 Minister Garrett here.
  • Jockey Clayton Gallagher is 5 from 20 at today’s meeting profile (25.0% strike, A/E 1.68) and has #8 Adamana here.
  • Jockey Jake Pracey-Holmes is 8 from 41 at today’s meeting profile (19.5% strike, A/E 1.44) and has #7 Nothing Finer here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1400m · 12 races (12 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)43975%20.9%1.39
Middle (5–9)51216.7%3.9%0.34
Wide (10+)2918.3%3.4%0.46

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)27433.3%14.8%1.12
On-pace (4–6)27541.7%18.5%1.35
Midfield (7–10)2900%0%0.00
Backmarkers (11+)500%0%0.00
Unknown35325%8.6%0.81

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)118.3%100%1.40
Pop ($2–5)20758.3%35%1.09
Mid ($5–10)32216.7%6.2%0.48
Roughie (>$10)70216.7%2.9%0.60