Riccarton Park Synthetic R2

09:47Speight's Summit Ultra On Tap (Bm75)
2200mBenchmark 75Rail: True
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 7 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Speight's Summit Ultra On Tap (Bm75)a 2200m benchmark 75 at Riccarton Park Synthetic, jumping at 09:47 on ground, rail true. 7 runners engaged.

At the trip

Riccarton Park Synthetic has staged 21 races at 2200m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 13 of 21 (61.9% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.24).
  • Pace: no workable sample in this category.
  • Market: Mid ($5–10) wins the most races here — 10 of 21 (47.6% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 198 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers 21 runnings — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Inside (1–4) again on top: A/E 1.24 (13 from 79).
  • Pace: edge tilts to Settle position 1–3 — A/E 1.26 (1 from 6).
  • Market: read holds — Mid ($5–10) again on top: A/E 0.99 (10 from 72).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Trainer Ms L Prendergast: 5 from 29 (17.2%) in the last 90 days — saddles #5 Cosmetic Virtue here.
  • Jockey Floor Moerman is 7 from 60 at today’s meeting profile (11.7% strike, A/E 1.60) and has #5 Cosmetic Virtue here.
  • Jockey Bridget Grylls is 9 from 67 at today’s meeting profile (13.4% strike, A/E 1.41) and has #6 El Fuego here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
2200m · 21 races (21 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)791361.9%16.5%1.24
Middle (5–9)86628.6%7%0.63
Wide (10+)5429.5%3.7%0.40

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)614.8%16.7%1.26
On-pace (4–6)600%0%0.00
Midfield (7–10)814.8%12.5%1.20
Backmarkers (11+)100%0%0.00
Unknown1981990.5%9.6%0.84

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Pop ($2–5)30628.6%20%0.72
Mid ($5–10)721047.6%13.9%0.99
Roughie (>$10)117523.8%4.3%0.76

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.