Riccarton Park Synthetic R4

10:56Cup Week Hospitality On Sale Now Mdn
1200mMaidenRail: True
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 7 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Cup Week Hospitality On Sale Now Mdna 1200m maiden at Riccarton Park Synthetic, jumping at 10:56 on ground, rail true. 11 runners engaged.

At the trip

Riccarton Park Synthetic has staged 45 races at 1200m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 19 of 45 (42.2% win share); the value band has been Wide (10+) — A/E 1.21 (12 from 95).
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 11 of 45 (24.4% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.50).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 15 of 45 (33.3% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 297 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers 45 runnings — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Wide (10+) again on top: A/E 1.21 (12 from 95).
  • Pace: read holds — Settle position 1–3 again on top: A/E 1.50 (11 from 45).
  • Market: edge tilts to Mid ($5–10) — A/E 0.93 (14 from 106); overall it's Odds-on (≤$2).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Trainer Ms L Prendergast: 5 from 29 (17.2%) in the last 90 days — saddles #1 Inside Edge here.
  • Jockey Floor Moerman is 7 from 60 at today’s meeting profile (11.7% strike, A/E 1.60) and has #9 Forseti here.
  • Jockey Bridget Grylls is 9 from 67 at today’s meeting profile (13.4% strike, A/E 1.41) and has #7 Stranger Times here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1200m · 45 races (45 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1591942.2%11.9%0.88
Middle (5–9)1821431.1%7.7%0.62
Wide (10+)951226.7%12.6%1.21

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)451124.4%24.4%1.50
On-pace (4–6)4324.4%4.7%0.43
Midfield (7–10)3924.4%5.1%0.40
Backmarkers (11+)1200%0%0.00
Unknown2973066.7%10.1%0.83

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)10817.8%80%1.34
Pop ($2–5)691533.3%21.7%0.74
Mid ($5–10)1061431.1%13.2%0.93
Roughie (>$10)251817.8%3.2%0.64

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.