Riccarton Park Synthetic R9

13:54Racecourse Hotel & Motor Lodge (Bm75)
1400mBenchmark 75Rail: True
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 7 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Racecourse Hotel & Motor Lodge (Bm75)a 1400m benchmark 75 at Riccarton Park Synthetic, jumping at 13:54 on ground, rail true. 12 runners engaged.

At the trip

Riccarton Park Synthetic has staged 35 races at 1400m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 15 of 35 (42.9% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 4–6 wins the most races here — 5 of 35 (14.3% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.78).
  • Market: Mid ($5–10) wins the most races here — 12 of 35 (34.3% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 268 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers 35 runnings — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Inside (1–4) again on top: A/E 1.00 (15 from 133).
  • Pace: read holds — Settle position 4–6 again on top: A/E 1.78 (5 from 30).
  • Market: read holds — Mid ($5–10) again on top: A/E 0.99 (12 from 88).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Trainer Ms T Rae: 6 from 40 (15.0%) in the last 90 days — saddles #10 Pax Mundi here.
  • Trainer Ms L Prendergast: 5 from 29 (17.2%) in the last 90 days — saddles #9 Moon Money here.
  • Jockey Akshay Balloo is 3 from 19 at today’s meeting profile (15.8% strike, A/E 1.65) and has #6 Mr Fortrus here.
  • Jockey Floor Moerman is 7 from 60 at today’s meeting profile (11.7% strike, A/E 1.60) and has #1 War Court here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1400m · 35 races (35 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1331542.9%11.3%1.00
Middle (5–9)1571440%8.9%0.79
Wide (10+)88617.1%6.8%0.66

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)30411.4%13.3%0.74
On-pace (4–6)30514.3%16.7%1.78
Midfield (7–10)3612.9%2.8%0.35
Backmarkers (11+)1400%0%0.00
Unknown2682571.4%9.3%0.83

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)525.7%40%0.69
Pop ($2–5)551131.4%20%0.69
Mid ($5–10)881234.3%13.6%0.99
Roughie (>$10)2301028.6%4.3%0.92

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.