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← Riccarton Park SyntheticWednesday 8 July 2026

Riccarton Park Synthetic R7

12:44Red Nose Raceday - 23 July Mdn
1600mMaidenRail: True
StatisticsRace Analysis
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 7 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Red Nose Raceday - 23 July Mdn — a 1600m maiden at Riccarton Park Synthetic, jumping at 12:44 on — ground, rail true. 11 runners engaged.

At the trip

Riccarton Park Synthetic has staged 43 races at 1600m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 19 of 43 (44.2% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 10 of 43 (23.3% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.22).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 17 of 43 (39.5% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 285 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers 43 runnings — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Middle (5–9) again on top: A/E 1.04 (19 from 179).
  • Pace: read holds — Settle position 1–3 again on top: A/E 1.22 (10 from 54).
  • Market: read holds — Pop ($2–5) again on top: A/E 0.89 (17 from 64).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Akshay Balloo is 3 from 19 at today’s meeting profile (15.8% strike, A/E 1.65) and has #9 Shocking Secrets here.
  • Jockey Bridget Grylls is 9 from 67 at today’s meeting profile (13.4% strike, A/E 1.41) and has #1 Tussar here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1600m · 43 races (43 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1541432.6%9.1%0.66
Middle (5–9)1791944.2%10.6%1.04
Wide (10+)1281023.3%7.8%0.83

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)541023.3%18.5%1.22
On-pace (4–6)5224.7%3.8%0.26
Midfield (7–10)50511.6%10%1.13
Backmarkers (11+)2012.3%5%0.76
Unknown2852558.1%8.8%0.83

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)649.3%66.7%1.05
Pop ($2–5)641739.5%26.6%0.89
Mid ($5–10)1141330.2%11.4%0.81
Roughie (>$10)277920.9%3.2%0.72

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.