HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← DoombenSaturday 11 July 2026

Doomben R1

11:53Souths Sports Club Hcp
1350mOpenRail: +0.5m
Race AnalysisStatistics
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 10 July 14:13 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Souths Sports Club Hcp — a 1350m open at Doomben, jumping at 11:53 on — ground, rail +0.5m. 9 runners engaged.

At the trip

Doomben has staged 114 races at 1350m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 50 of 114 (43.9% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 48 of 114 (42.1% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 44 of 114 (38.6% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions (+0.5m ±1m) covers 10 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: edge tilts to Inside (1–4) — A/E 1.10 (5 from 37); overall it's Middle (5–9).
  • Pace: edge tilts to Settle position 11+ — A/E 1.30 (1 from 9); overall it's Settle position 1–3.
  • Market: read holds — Mid ($5–10) again on top: A/E 1.06 (4 from 28).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Jag Guthmann-Chester: 7 from 33 (21.2%) in the last 30 days — rides #2 Apex Predator here.
  • Jockey Ben E Thompson: 46 from 300 (15.3%) in the last 90 days (15 of those in the last 30) — rides #3 Bull Rayner here.
  • Trainer Matthew Hoysted: 5 from 24 (20.8%) in the last 30 days — saddles #2 Apex Predator here.
  • Trainer K M Schweida: 8 from 43 (18.6%) in the last 30 days — saddles #1 High Authority here.
  • Jockey Taylor Marshall is 3 from 32 at today’s meeting profile (9.4% strike, A/E 1.51) and has #6 Zou Zou Kapadokia here.
  • Trainer S J Morrisey is 3 from 43 at today’s meeting profile (7.0% strike, A/E 1.46) and has #5 Native Son here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1350m · 114 races (114 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)4304842.1%11.2%0.79
Middle (5–9)5105043.9%9.8%0.90
Wide (10+)2401614%6.7%0.77

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)3304842.1%14.5%0.95
On-pace (4–6)3293833.3%11.6%0.89
Midfield (7–10)3582017.5%5.6%0.62
Backmarkers (11+)11643.5%3.4%0.61
Unknown4743.5%8.5%0.74

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)20119.6%55%0.92
Pop ($2–5)2084438.6%21.2%0.72
Mid ($5–10)2603328.9%12.7%0.94
Roughie (>$10)6922622.8%3.8%0.91

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.