Country Music Raceday On Sale Now Hcp (70) — a 1600m restricted 70 at Doomben, jumping at 12:28 on — ground, rail +0.5m. 15 runners engaged.
At the trip
Doomben has staged 37 races at 1600m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 18 of 37 (48.6% win share); Wide (10+) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.34 (2 from 88).
- Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 15 of 37 (40.5% win share); Settle position 11+ underperforms its market price — A/E 0.36 (1 from 56).
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 19 of 37 (51.4% win share); Mid ($5–10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.54 (7 from 96).
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions (+0.5m ±1m) covers only 4 runnings — too small to lean on.
- For the record: Settle position 1–3 accounted for 4 of the 4 winners (4 from 12 runners, A/E 1.66) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.
Jockeys & trainers
- Jockey Ben E Thompson: 46 from 300 (15.3%) in the last 90 days (15 of those in the last 30) — rides #3 Smart As Smart here.
- Trainer Jack Bruce: 25 from 125 (20.0%) in the last 90 days (8 of those in the last 30) — saddles #2 San Jose Boy here.
- Trainer K M Schweida: 8 from 43 (18.6%) in the last 30 days — saddles #9 Special Artist here.
- Trainer S J Morrisey is 3 from 43 at today’s meeting profile (7.0% strike, A/E 1.46) and has #14 Old Song here.
- Jockey Courtney Bellamy is 2 from 18 at today’s meeting profile (11.1% strike, A/E 1.32) and has #11 Diamond Show here.