Graham Milligan (Bm78) — a 1600m benchmark 78 at Doomben, jumping at 13:38 on — ground, rail +0.5m. 12 runners engaged.
At the trip
Doomben has staged 37 races at 1600m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 18 of 37 (48.6% win share); Wide (10+) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.34 (2 from 88).
- Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 15 of 37 (40.5% win share); Settle position 11+ underperforms its market price — A/E 0.36 (1 from 56).
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 19 of 37 (51.4% win share); Mid ($5–10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.54 (7 from 96).
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions (+0.5m ±1m) covers only 4 runnings — too small to lean on.
- For the record: Settle position 1–3 accounted for 4 of the 4 winners (4 from 12 runners, A/E 1.66) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.
Jockeys & trainers
- Jockey Michael Rodd: 6 from 38 (15.8%) in the last 30 days — rides #10 Diana's Affair here.
- Jockey Ben E Thompson: 46 from 300 (15.3%) in the last 90 days (15 of those in the last 30) — rides #14 Natoya here.
- Trainer Darren P Bell: 6 from 39 (15.4%) in the last 90 days — saddles #7 Man Of The Town here.
- Trainer Tony & Maddysen Sears: 13 from 85 (15.3%) in the last 90 days (5 of those in the last 30) — saddles #14 Natoya here.
- Jockey Taylor Marshall is 3 from 32 at today’s meeting profile (9.4% strike, A/E 1.51) and has #12 Jemoma Alpilage here.