HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← DoombenSaturday 11 July 2026

Doomben R9

16:43Ladbrokes Popular SRM Hcp
1200mOpenRail: +0.5m
Race AnalysisStatistics
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 10 July 14:13 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Ladbrokes Popular SRM Hcp — a 1200m open at Doomben, jumping at 16:43 on — ground, rail +0.5m. 11 runners engaged.

At the trip

Doomben has staged 106 races at 1200m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 48 of 106 (45.3% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 57 of 106 (53.8% win share); Settle position 11+ underperforms its market price — A/E 0.41 (1 from 56).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 58 of 106 (54.7% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions (+0.5m ±1m) covers only 6 runnings — too small to lean on.

  • For the record: Pop ($2–5) accounted for 4 of the 6 winners (4 from 12 runners, A/E 0.98) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Trainer Jack Bruce: 25 from 125 (20.0%) in the last 90 days (8 of those in the last 30) — saddles #8 Atmosphere here.
  • Trainer Pat W Webster: 13 from 77 (16.9%) in the last 90 days (5 of those in the last 30) — saddles #5 Restonica here.
  • Jockey Taylor Marshall is 3 from 32 at today’s meeting profile (9.4% strike, A/E 1.51) and has #8 Atmosphere here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1200m · 106 races (106 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)4074845.3%11.8%0.79
Middle (5–9)4504744.3%10.4%0.87
Wide (10+)1401110.4%7.9%0.89

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)3155753.8%18.1%0.99
On-pace (4–6)3132624.5%8.3%0.66
Midfield (7–10)3052119.8%6.9%0.78
Backmarkers (11+)5610.9%1.8%0.41
Unknown810.9%12.5%0.84

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)23109.4%43.5%0.73
Pop ($2–5)2065854.7%28.2%0.94
Mid ($5–10)2092018.9%9.6%0.71
Roughie (>$10)5591817%3.2%0.76

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.