Hawera R2

10:46Hunts Farm Services Ltd Hcp
1200mOpenRail: True
Races12345678

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 10 July 14:13 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Hunts Farm Services Ltd Hcpa 1200m open at Hawera, jumping at 10:46 on ground, rail true. 6 runners engaged.

At the trip

Hawera has staged 20 races at 1200m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 9 of 20 (45.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 7 of 20 (35.0% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.20).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 6 of 20 (30.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 73 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers 16 runnings — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Wide (10+) again on top: A/E 0.94 (3 from 28).
  • Pace: read holds — Settle position 1–3 again on top: A/E 1.20 (7 from 33).
  • Market: edge tilts to Pop ($2–5) — A/E 0.94 (6 from 23); overall it's Roughie (>$10).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Trainer M P Breslin: 9 from 57 (15.8%) in the last 90 days — saddles #1 Ima Brazen One here.
  • Trainer A M Clement is 2 from 16 at today’s meeting profile (12.5% strike, A/E 1.67) and has #3 Tavis Court here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1200m · 20 races (20 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)75840%10.7%0.73
Middle (5–9)72945%12.5%0.91
Wide (10+)28315%10.7%0.94

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)33735%21.2%1.20
On-pace (4–6)3115%3.2%0.24
Midfield (7–10)31315%9.7%1.06
Backmarkers (11+)700%0%0.00
Unknown73945%12.3%0.83

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)6420%66.7%1.04
Pop ($2–5)30630%20%0.73
Mid ($5–10)54525%9.3%0.68
Roughie (>$10)85525%5.9%1.09

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.