HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← HaweraSaturday 11 July 2026

Hawera R3

11:20Hawera Club 3yo
1600mOpenRail: True
Race AnalysisStatistics
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 10 July 14:13 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Hawera Club 3yo — a 1600m open at Hawera, jumping at 11:20 on — ground, rail true. 6 runners engaged.

At the trip

Hawera has staged 14 races at 1600m in our sample — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 9 of 14 (64.3% win share); Wide (10+) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.34 (1 from 31).
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 and Settle position 7–10 win the most races here — 2 of 14 each (14.3% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 6 of 14 (42.9% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 92 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers 12 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Middle (5–9) again on top: A/E 1.09 (7 from 51).
  • Pace: read holds — Settle position 1–3 again on top: A/E 1.33 (2 from 15).
  • Market: read holds — Pop ($2–5) again on top: A/E 1.02 (5 from 18).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Craig Grylls: 24 from 124 (19.4%) in the last 90 days (5 of those in the last 30) — rides #1 Belles Boom here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1600m · 14 races (14 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)55428.6%7.3%0.64
Middle (5–9)61964.3%14.8%1.19
Wide (10+)3117.1%3.2%0.34

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)15214.3%13.3%1.33
On-pace (4–6)1517.1%6.7%0.51
Midfield (7–10)17214.3%11.8%0.93
Backmarkers (11+)800%0%0.00
Unknown92964.3%9.8%0.84

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Pop ($2–5)21642.9%28.6%1.05
Mid ($5–10)53535.7%9.4%0.67
Roughie (>$10)73321.4%4.1%0.85

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.