Happy 21st Birthday Annabel Corcoran (Bm65) — a 1400m benchmark 65 at Hawera, jumping at 13:17 on — ground, rail true. 12 runners engaged.
At the trip
Hawera has staged 19 races at 1400m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 10 of 19 (52.6% win share); Wide (10+) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.34 (1 from 32).
- Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 4 of 19 (21.1% win share); Settle position 4–6 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.49 (1 from 21).
- Market: Mid ($5–10) wins the most races here — 11 of 19 (57.9% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.66).
- Data note: settling position is unknown for 105 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions covers 13 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.
- Barrier draw: read holds — Inside (1–4) again on top: A/E 1.09 (7 from 46).
- Pace: read holds — Settle position 1–3 again on top: A/E 1.07 (4 from 21).
- Market: read holds — Mid ($5–10) again on top: A/E 1.68 (6 from 24).
Jockeys & trainers
- Jockey Craig Grylls: 24 from 124 (19.4%) in the last 90 days (5 of those in the last 30) — rides #9 Rippanall here.
- Jockey Jonathan Riddell: 5 from 30 (16.7%) in the last 30 days — rides #1 Maranello here.
- Trainer M P Breslin: 9 from 57 (15.8%) in the last 90 days — saddles #8 East End Lad here.
- Trainer P D Pascoe is 3 from 18 at today’s meeting profile (16.7% strike, A/E 2.96) and has #14 Come To Terms here.