Hammonds Paints Mdn Hrdl — a 3200m maiden hurdle at Hamilton, jumping at 13:05 on — ground, rail true. 13 runners engaged.
At the trip
Hamilton has staged 5 races at 3200m in our sample — too small to base a decision on.
- Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 3 of 5 (60.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Pace: no workable sample in this category.
- Market: Mid ($5–10) wins the most races here — 3 of 5 (60.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Data note: settling position is unknown for 16 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions covers only 5 runnings — too small to lean on.
- For the record: Settle position 1–3 accounted for 3 of the 5 winners (3 from 9 runners, A/E 2.23) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.
Jockeys & trainers
- Together, Dean Parker × Symon Wilde are 6 from 19 (31.6%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #7 Slomo here.
- Jockey Tom Ryan: 5 from 30 (16.7%) in the last 90 days — rides #6 Shogun Express here.
- Jockey Steven Pateman: 6 from 35 (17.1%) in the last 90 days — rides #4 Gripping here.
- Trainer Patrick Payne: 38 from 199 (19.1%) in the last 90 days (15 of those in the last 30) — saddles #6 Shogun Express here.