Hamilton R6

16:25Armytage Family Hwt (Bm56)
1200mBenchmark 56Rail: True
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 11 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Armytage Family Hwt (Bm56)a 1200m benchmark 56 at Hamilton, jumping at 16:25 on ground, rail true. 8 runners engaged.

At the trip

Hamilton has staged 9 races at 1200m in our sample — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 5 of 9 (55.6% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 6 of 9 (66.7% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.26).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 6 of 9 (66.7% win share); the value band has been Roughie (>$10) — A/E 1.22 (2 from 39).
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 12 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers 9 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Wide (10+) again on top: A/E 0.91 (1 from 14).
  • Pace: read holds — Settle position 1–3 again on top: A/E 1.26 (6 from 24).
  • Market: read holds — Roughie (>$10) again on top: A/E 1.22 (2 from 39).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Dean Parker: 8 from 33 (24.2%) in the last 90 days — rides #6 Airclash here.
  • Jockey Tom Ryan: 5 from 30 (16.7%) in the last 90 days — rides #4 Break The Taboo here.
  • Trainer Adam Chambers: 5 from 19 (26.3%) in the last 90 days — saddles #3 Atomova here.
  • Trainer Archie Alexander: 10 from 64 (15.6%) in the last 90 days — saddles #7 Tuxedo Miss here.
  • Trainer Shane Jackson is 4 from 17 at today’s meeting profile (23.5% strike, A/E 1.30) and has #4 Break The Taboo here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1200m · 9 races (9 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)32555.6%15.6%0.90
Middle (5–9)31333.3%9.7%0.70
Wide (10+)14111.1%7.1%0.91

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)24666.7%25%1.26
On-pace (4–6)23111.1%4.3%0.31
Midfield (7–10)16111.1%6.2%0.64
Backmarkers (11+)200%0%0.00
Unknown12111.1%8.3%0.83

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)100%0%0.00
Pop ($2–5)21666.7%28.6%0.93
Mid ($5–10)16111.1%6.2%0.44
Roughie (>$10)39222.2%5.1%1.22

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.