Hamilton R3

14:25The Bullock Family Adam Lindsay Gordon Mdn Stpl
3400mMaiden SteepleRail: True
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 11 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

The Bullock Family Adam Lindsay Gordon Mdn Stpla 3400m maiden steeple at Hamilton, jumping at 14:25 on ground, rail true. 11 runners engaged.

At the trip

Hamilton has staged 4 races at 3400m in our sample — too small to base a decision on.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) and Middle (5–9) win the most races here — 2 of 4 each (50.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: no workable sample in this category.
  • Market: no workable sample in this category.
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 24 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers only 4 runnings — too small to lean on.

  • For the record: Pop ($2–5) accounted for 2 of the 4 winners (2 from 2 runners, A/E 2.90) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Dean Parker: 8 from 33 (24.2%) in the last 90 days — rides #4 Mana Combat here.
  • Jockey Tom Ryan: 5 from 30 (16.7%) in the last 90 days — rides #9 Nassak Diamond here.
  • Trainer Patrick Payne: 38 from 199 (19.1%) in the last 90 days (15 of those in the last 30) — saddles #9 Nassak Diamond here.
  • Trainer C Maher: 28 from 184 (15.2%) in the last 30 days — saddles #8 Ongatiti here.
  • Trainer Shane Jackson is 4 from 17 at today’s meeting profile (23.5% strike, A/E 1.30) and has #10 Raise The Note here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
3400m · 4 races (4 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)13250%15.4%0.71
Middle (5–9)11250%18.2%1.07

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Unknown244100%16.7%0.85

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)4250%50%0.70
Pop ($2–5)2250%100%2.90
Mid ($5–10)500%0%0.00
Roughie (>$10)1300%0%0.00

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.