Kalgoorlie R1

15:10Black Diamond Drilling Mdn
1621mMaidenRail: +5m
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 11 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Black Diamond Drilling Mdna 1621m maiden at Kalgoorlie, jumping at 15:10 on ground, rail +5m. 6 runners engaged.

At the trip

Kalgoorlie has staged 12 races at 1621m in our sample — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 9 of 12 (75.0% win share); Middle (5–9) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.55 (3 from 51).
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 7 of 12 (58.3% win share); Settle position 7–10 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.00 (0 from 25).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 6 of 12 (50.0% win share); the value band has been Roughie (>$10) — A/E 1.56 (4 from 61).
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 21 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions (+5m ±1m) covers only 4 runnings — too small to lean on.

  • For the record: Inside (1–4) accounted for 3 of the 4 winners (3 from 16 runners, A/E 1.17) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Together, Lucy F Fiore × P J Fernie are 8 from 25 (32.0%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #4 Graceful Lass here.
  • Jockey Brandon Louis: 5 from 30 (16.7%) in the last 30 days — rides #1 Racy Rascal here.
  • Trainer Michael Grantham: 33 from 140 (23.6%) in the last 90 days (14 of those in the last 30) — saddles #5 Midnight Deal here.
  • Trainer A W Maley is 6 from 27 at today’s meeting profile (22.2% strike, A/E 1.83) and has #6 Mensesh here.
  • Jockey Zephen Johnston-Porter is 14 from 131 at today’s meeting profile (10.7% strike, A/E 1.25) and has #5 Midnight Deal here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1621m · 12 races (12 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)47975%19.1%1.07
Middle (5–9)51325%5.9%0.55
Wide (10+)1300%0%0.00

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)30758.3%23.3%1.13
On-pace (4–6)30325%10%0.73
Midfield (7–10)2500%0%0.00
Backmarkers (11+)500%0%0.00
Unknown21216.7%9.5%0.81

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)300%0%0.00
Pop ($2–5)25650%24%0.80
Mid ($5–10)22216.7%9.1%0.67
Roughie (>$10)61433.3%6.6%1.56

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.