Kalgoorlie R5

17:35Pamela Macdonald Aussie Mobile Broker Hcp (C2)
1300mClass 2Rail: +5m
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 11 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Pamela Macdonald Aussie Mobile Broker Hcp (C2)a 1300m class 2 at Kalgoorlie, jumping at 17:35 on ground, rail +5m. 15 runners engaged.

At the trip

Kalgoorlie has staged 26 races at 1300m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 15 of 26 (57.7% win share); Wide (10+) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.42 (1 from 29).
  • Pace: Settle position 4–6 wins the most races here — 11 of 26 (42.3% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.22).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 11 of 26 (42.3% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions (+5m ±1m) covers only 5 runnings — too small to lean on.

  • For the record: Inside (1–4) accounted for 5 of the 5 winners (5 from 19 runners, A/E 1.67) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Together, Natika Riordan × Brock Lewthwaite are 5 from 26 (19.2%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #4 Deeply Rooted here.
  • Jockey Brandon Louis: 5 from 30 (16.7%) in the last 30 days — rides #6 Alotta Fighting here.
  • Jockey Lucy F Fiore: 10 from 62 (16.1%) in the last 30 days — rides #7 Time Connection here.
  • Trainer Brett Drury: 6 from 32 (18.8%) in the last 90 days — saddles #2 Viresha, #3 Buon Amici here.
  • Trainer P J Fernie: 29 from 155 (18.7%) in the last 90 days — saddles #1 Batista here.
  • Trainer A W Maley is 6 from 27 at today’s meeting profile (22.2% strike, A/E 1.83) and has #8 Kleva Conned here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1300m · 26 races (26 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1031557.7%14.6%1.14
Middle (5–9)1211038.5%8.3%0.61
Wide (10+)2913.8%3.4%0.42

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)781038.5%12.8%0.74
On-pace (4–6)781142.3%14.1%1.22
Midfield (7–10)85519.2%5.9%0.58
Backmarkers (11+)1200%0%0.00

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)7311.5%42.9%0.75
Pop ($2–5)511142.3%21.6%0.78
Mid ($5–10)60726.9%11.7%0.87
Roughie (>$10)135519.2%3.7%0.87

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.