HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← KalgoorlieSunday 12 July 2026

Kalgoorlie R4

17:00Real Punters Play Here (Bm70+)
1100mBenchMark 70+Rail: +5m
Race AnalysisStatistics
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 11 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Real Punters Play Here (Bm70+) — a 1100m benchmark 70+ at Kalgoorlie, jumping at 17:00 on — ground, rail +5m. 9 runners engaged.

At the trip

Kalgoorlie has staged 45 races at 1100m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 24 of 45 (53.3% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 27 of 45 (60.0% win share); Settle position 7–10 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.46 (5 from 93).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 19 of 45 (42.2% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions (+5m ±1m) covers 12 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: edge tilts to Inside (1–4) — A/E 0.90 (7 from 48); overall it's Middle (5–9).
  • Pace: read holds — Settle position 1–3 again on top: A/E 1.05 (8 from 36).
  • Market: read holds — Odds-on (≤$2) again on top: A/E 1.73 (4 from 4).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Together, Natika Riordan × Brock Lewthwaite are 5 from 26 (19.2%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #1 Prawns Eleven here.
  • Jockey Brandon Louis: 5 from 30 (16.7%) in the last 30 days — rides #4 Saturday Sesh here.
  • Trainer P J Fernie: 29 from 155 (18.7%) in the last 90 days — saddles #6 Baalbek, #9 Twist Of Gold here.
  • Trainer A W Maley is 6 from 27 at today’s meeting profile (22.2% strike, A/E 1.83) and has #4 Saturday Sesh, #8 Swim Through here.
  • Jockey Laqdar Ramoly is 8 from 41 at today’s meeting profile (19.5% strike, A/E 1.39) and has #3 Boab Boy here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1100m · 45 races (45 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1752453.3%13.7%0.81
Middle (5–9)1722044.4%11.6%0.86
Wide (10+)1912.2%5.3%0.72

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)1352760%20%0.98
On-pace (4–6)1301328.9%10%0.82
Midfield (7–10)93511.1%5.4%0.46
Backmarkers (11+)600%0%0.00
Unknown200%0%0.00

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)171022.2%58.8%0.95
Pop ($2–5)791942.2%24.1%0.79
Mid ($5–10)811022.2%12.3%0.91
Roughie (>$10)189613.3%3.2%0.66

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.