Kalgoorlie R2

15:50Hertz Kalgoorlie Mdn
1200mMaidenRail: +5m
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 11 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Hertz Kalgoorlie Mdna 1200m maiden at Kalgoorlie, jumping at 15:50 on ground, rail +5m. 8 runners engaged.

At the trip

Kalgoorlie has staged 43 races at 1200m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 24 of 43 (55.8% win share); Wide (10+) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.52 (3 from 61).
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 18 of 43 (41.9% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 23 of 43 (53.5% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.46 (5 from 246).

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions (+5m ±1m) covers only 6 runnings — too small to lean on.

  • For the record: Middle (5–9) accounted for 4 of the 6 winners (4 from 29 runners, A/E 1.03) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Together, Natika Riordan × Brock Lewthwaite are 5 from 26 (19.2%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #2 Mad Spitfire here.
  • Jockey Lucy F Fiore: 10 from 62 (16.1%) in the last 30 days — rides #7 Pacific Lass here.
  • Trainer Michael Grantham: 33 from 140 (23.6%) in the last 90 days (14 of those in the last 30) — saddles #8 Optimus Prime here.
  • Trainer A W Maley is 6 from 27 at today’s meeting profile (22.2% strike, A/E 1.83) and has #4 Somethink here.
  • Jockey Laqdar Ramoly is 8 from 41 at today’s meeting profile (19.5% strike, A/E 1.39) and has #8 Optimus Prime here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1200m · 43 races (43 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1702455.8%14.1%0.91
Middle (5–9)1901637.2%8.4%0.77
Wide (10+)6137%4.9%0.52

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)1291841.9%14%0.87
On-pace (4–6)1291432.6%10.9%0.81
Midfield (7–10)137920.9%6.6%0.68
Backmarkers (11+)2624.7%7.7%1.06

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)12818.6%66.7%1.02
Pop ($2–5)812353.5%28.4%0.99
Mid ($5–10)82716.3%8.5%0.64
Roughie (>$10)246511.6%2%0.46

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.