HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← Ballarat SyntheticTuesday 7 July 2026

Ballarat Synthetic R1

13:10Brandt Mdn Plate
1500mMaidenRail: True
StatisticsRace Analysis
Races1234567

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 6 July 14:09 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Early model rankings — previewupdated race morning · not final
Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy2.74top 3
Ranked 1st
4. Always Free
Teodore Nugent (8)
Ranked 2nd
2. Egerton Reef
John Allen (7)
Ranked 3rd
3. Flying Capital
Will Gordon (5)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
Backmarkers2
settle 11+
5 Arbenita(1)
10 Light Up The City(4)
Midfield4
settle 7–10
1 Black Hex(6)
4 Always Free(8)
9 Just Swift(9)
12 Notified(11)
On-pace5
settle 3–6
8 Is Extreme(2)
6 Camegitchee(3)
2 Egerton Reef(7)
11 Think About Her(10)
7 Eye Tracker(12)
Leaders1
pushing for the lead
3 Flying Capital(5)

Historical overview

Across the 34 sampled runnings of 1500m at Ballarat Synthetic: Leaders (settle 1–3) — 13 of 34 winners (38.2% of winners, 13.5% strike, 0.82 A/E). From the gates, Middle (5–9) — 14 of 34 winners (41.2% of winners, 9.6% strike, 0.83 A/E).

Today's going is not yet confirmed, so no going-specific split is shown — the broad sample above carries the read until race morning.

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 8 from 9 (88.9% strike, 1.6 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 14.7% of winners.

Historical leans

  • Leaders (settle 1–3) is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Middle (5–9) barriers lead the draw splits
  • Short-priced runners have historically held their market at this trip

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).