Historical overview
Across the 51 sampled runnings of 1200m at Ballarat Synthetic: Leaders (settle 1–3) — 23 of 51 winners (45.1% of winners, 15.6% strike, 0.87 A/E). No winner in this sample settled 11+ back. From the gates, Middle (5–9) — 23 of 51 winners (45.1% of winners, 11.6% strike, 0.94 A/E).
Today's going is not yet confirmed, so no going-specific split is shown — the broad sample above carries the read until race morning.
Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 12 from 24 (50.0% strike, 0.78 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 17.6% of winners.
Historical leans
- Leaders (settle 1–3) is the strongest settle band on the sample
- Middle (5–9) barriers lead the draw splits
- Favourites underperform their market share at this trip on this sample
Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.