Ballarat Synthetic

SyntheticRail: True Entire Circuit—13:10–16:45

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 6 July 14:06 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Meeting overview

Ballarat Synthetic in VIC hosts a provincial meeting on Synthetic. The rail is True Entire Circuit. There are 7 races scheduled from 13:10 to 16:45.

The card

Distances run from 1,000m to 2,100m across the card. The class mix is 3 maidens and 4 benchmark races. The card leans toward sprint trips. The feature race of the day is Manhari (Bm56).

What history says

Over 194 races from 2025-05-22 to 2026-07-03, settling position flags backmarkers (11+) as the clearest profile, underperforming market expectation (0.43 A/E, 2.3% strike rate).

Jockey Cian Macredmond has 3 runners and a 9.9% local strike rate from 101 runs (1.24 A/E) and Jockey Neil Farley has 5 runners and a 14.0% local strike rate from 86 runs (1.19 A/E).

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Track profile: Ballarat Synthetic

194 races · 1773 runners · since 2025-05-22

Today’s angles — 2+ runners here today & A/E > 1

TV L Malady2 todayA/E 1.40JFred W Kersley2 todayA/E 1.36TRodney Foster2 todayA/E 1.29JCian Macredmond3 todayA/E 1.24JZac Moore2 todayA/E 1.20JNeil Farley5 todayA/E 1.19JJack Hill4 todayA/E 1.19TT & C McEvoy2 todayA/E 1.08TMitchell Freedman2 todayA/E 1.07

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	695	83	42.8%	11.9%	0.83
Middle (5–9)	777	83	42.8%	10.7%	0.84
Wide (10+)	301	28	14.4%	9.3%	0.83

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	534	86	44.3%	16.1%	0.90
On-pace (4–6)	507	55	28.4%	10.8%	0.81
Midfield (7–10)	452	32	16.5%	7.1%	0.79
Backmarkers (11+)	88	2	1%	2.3%	0.43
Unknown	192	19	9.8%	9.9%	0.82

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	65	40	20.6%	61.5%	0.99
Pop ($2–5)	345	86	44.3%	24.9%	0.85
Mid ($5–10)	377	42	21.6%	11.1%	0.82
Roughie (>$10)	986	26	13.4%	2.6%	0.67

A/E = actual wins ÷ market-expected wins (Σ 1/SP). Above 1.0 (green) beats the market here; below 0.9 (red) lags. Strong bias day = a past meeting where one run-style won >65% of races (≥5 winners). “Today” = runners engaged here today.