HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← Ballarat SyntheticTuesday 7 July 2026

Ballarat Synthetic R4

14:55Manhari (Bm56)
1000mBenchmark 56Rail: True
StatisticsRace Analysis
Races1234567

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 6 July 14:09 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Early model rankings — previewupdated race morning · not final
Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy2.76top 3
Ranked 1st
4. Tennessee Spirit
Zac Moore (9)
Ranked 2nd
2. Bring The Thunder
Brad Rawiller (2)
Ranked 3rd
6. Del Lirenza
Chelsea Thompson (4)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
Backmarkers0
settle 11+
—
Midfield3
settle 7–10
7 Spinhof(5)
8 Flying D'amore(6)
1 Mojo Music(8)
On-pace4
settle 3–6
5 Belmasai(1)
2 Bring The Thunder(2)
3 Octrain(3)
9 Fugacity(7)
Leaders2
pushing for the lead
6 Del Lirenza(4)
4 Tennessee Spirit(9)

Historical overview

Across the 38 sampled runnings of 1000m at Ballarat Synthetic: Leaders (settle 1–3) — 22 of 38 winners (57.9% of winners, 20.4% strike, 1.03 A/E). From the gates, Inside (1–4) — 17 of 38 winners (44.7% of winners, 11.8% strike, 0.81 A/E).

Today's going is not yet confirmed, so no going-specific split is shown — the broad sample above carries the read until race morning.

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 5 from 8 (62.5% strike, 0.96 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 10.5% of winners.

Historical leans

  • Leaders (settle 1–3) is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Inside (1–4) barriers lead the draw splits
  • Favourites underperform their market share at this trip on this sample

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).