Hygain Edge (Bm56) — a 1200m benchmark 56 at Ballarat Synthetic, jumping at 15:30 on — ground, rail true. 10 runners engaged.
At the trip
Ballarat Synthetic has staged 51 races at 1200m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) and Middle (5–9) win the most races here — 23 of 51 each (45.1% win share); Wide (10+) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.52 (5 from 82).
- Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 23 of 51 (45.1% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 17 of 51 (33.3% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions covers 51 runnings — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: read holds — Middle (5–9) again on top: A/E 0.94 (23 from 199).
- Pace: read holds — Settle position 4–6 again on top: A/E 0.95 (16 from 131).
- Market: read holds — Mid ($5–10) again on top: A/E 0.93 (13 from 104).
Jockeys & trainers
- Jockey Chelsea Thompson: 9 from 57 (15.8%) in the last 90 days — rides #8 Take The Prize here.
- Trainer Nick Ryan: 14 from 76 (18.4%) in the last 90 days — saddles #4 Fierce Dreams here.