← Friday 3 July 2026NSWEarly preview · published 2 July 14:06 AEST — updated race morning

Tamworth

TurfRail: True—12:14–16:24

Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (2 July 14:06 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Meeting overview

Tamworth in NSW hosts a country meeting on Turf. The rail is True. There are 8 races scheduled from 12:14 to 16:24.

The card

Distances run from 1,000m to 2,100m across the card. The class mix is 3 maidens, 4 benchmark races, and 1 other race. The card leans toward sprint trips. The feature race of the day is Shay Brennan Constructions (Bm74).

What history says

Over 165 races from 2025-05-20 to 2026-06-26, settling position flags backmarkers (11+) as the clearest profile, underperforming market expectation (0.15 A/E, 0.9% strike rate).

Jockey Aaron Bullock has 5 runners and a 30.6% local strike rate from 98 runs (1.06 A/E) and Trainer Ms S Grills has 7 runners and a 14.8% local strike rate from 54 runs (1.45 A/E).

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Track profile: Tamworth

165 races · 1659 runners · since 2025-05-20

Today’s angles — 2+ runners here today & A/E > 1

TMs J Clement6 todayA/E 1.98JGabrielle Johnston3 todayA/E 1.86TM K Mason3 todayA/E 1.69TR P Northam2 todayA/E 1.59JMikayla Weir6 todayA/E 1.53TMs S Grills7 todayA/E 1.45TCameron Crockett4 todayA/E 1.28TT G Payne2 todayA/E 1.26TP J Cunningham4 todayA/E 1.14TS I Singleton7 todayA/E 1.08JAaron Bullock5 todayA/E 1.06TTroy O'Neile4 todayA/E 1.04JJacob Stiff5 todayA/E 1.01

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	617	56	33.5%	9.1%	0.71
Middle (5–9)	714	82	49.1%	11.5%	0.94
Wide (10+)	328	29	17.4%	8.8%	0.84

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	399	57	34.1%	14.3%	0.99
On-pace (4–6)	396	50	29.9%	12.6%	0.84
Midfield (7–10)	408	27	16.2%	6.6%	0.71
Backmarkers (11+)	110	1	0.6%	0.9%	0.15
Unknown	346	32	19.2%	9.2%	0.82

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	33	13	7.8%	39.4%	0.65
Pop ($2–5)	323	95	56.9%	29.4%	1.00
Mid ($5–10)	334	34	20.4%	10.2%	0.76
Roughie (>$10)	969	25	15%	2.6%	0.62

A/E = actual wins ÷ market-expected wins (Σ 1/SP). Above 1.0 (green) beats the market here; below 0.9 (red) lags. Strong bias day = a past meeting where one run-style won >65% of races (≥5 winners). “Today” = runners engaged here today.