HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← TamworthFriday 3 July 2026

Tamworth R5

14:34Kel Penfold Finance (Bm66)
1600mBenchmark 66Rail: TrueEarly preview · published 2 July 14:42 AEST — updated race morning
Races12345678
Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (2 July 14:42 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.
Early model rankings — previewearly predictions · not final
Early model predictions only. These WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updates — the final day's predictions and commentary are published race morning.
Early model — previewEarly predictions — will change with final scratchings, jockeys and track conditionEntropy3.03top 3
Ranked 1st
3. Set To Prophet
Jacob Stiff (5)
Ranked 2nd
7. Dunstall The Gun
Nick Palmer (1)
Ranked 3rd
10. Sanbina
Donovan Dillon (4)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
Backmarkers2
settle 11+
9 Ichika(8)
6 Smart Buy(9)
Midfield4
settle 7–10
7 Dunstall The Gun(1)
8 Carribean King(2)
10 Sanbina(4)
5 To Be Frank(6)
On-pace3
settle 3–6
1 Macleay(3)
3 Set To Prophet(5)
4 Phoenix Power(7)
Leaders0
pushing for the lead
—

Historical overview

Across the 24 sampled runnings of 1600m at Tamworth: Leaders (settle 1–3) — 8 of 24 winners (33.3% of winners, 14.0% strike, 0.93 A/E). From the gates, Middle (5–9) — 11 of 24 winners (45.8% of winners, 10.7% strike, 0.8 A/E).

Narrowed to today's rail position (1600m · True, 11 races): On-pace (settle 4–6) — 5 of 11 winners (45.5% of winners, 15.6% strike, 1.11 A/E).

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 1 from 5 (20.0% strike, 0.35 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 12.5% of winners.

Historical leans

  • Leaders (settle 1–3) is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Middle (5–9) barriers lead the draw splits

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Full speed-map read and model picks arrive race morning, once final scratchings and track condition are known.

Distance stats

Distance
1600m · 24 races (24 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)93833.3%8.6%0.74
Middle (5–9)1031145.8%10.7%0.80
Wide (10+)47520.8%10.6%1.09

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)57833.3%14%0.93
On-pace (4–6)56729.2%12.5%0.91
Midfield (7–10)60312.5%5%0.53
Backmarkers (11+)2014.2%5%0.94
Unknown50520.8%10%0.83

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)514.2%20%0.35
Pop ($2–5)471458.3%29.8%1.03
Mid ($5–10)55625%10.9%0.84
Roughie (>$10)136312.5%2.2%0.56