HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← TamworthFriday 3 July 2026

Tamworth R3

13:24New England Shade Sails Country Boosted Mdn Plate
1400mMaidenRail: TrueEarly preview · published 2 July 14:42 AEST — updated race morning
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Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (2 July 14:42 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.
Early model rankings — previewearly predictions · not final
Early model predictions only. These WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updates — the final day's predictions and commentary are published race morning.
Early model — previewEarly predictions — will change with final scratchings, jockeys and track conditionEntropy2.58top 3
Ranked 1st
10. Leovanni
Rory Hutchings (2)
Ranked 2nd
6. Ordinary Angel
Aaron Bullock (5)
Ranked 3rd
11. Redaluca Girl
Jake Pracey-Holmes (9)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
Backmarkers2
settle 11+
10 Leovanni(2)
5 Moon Treaty(8)
Midfield6
settle 7–10
8 Bemboka Lass(1)
9 Effietrinket(3)
7 Territory Dreamer(4)
4 Minister Garrett(7)
1 Fined For Speeding(10)
2 In One Moment(11)
On-pace3
settle 3–6
6 Ordinary Angel(5)
3 King Of Many(6)
11 Redaluca Girl(9)
Leaders0
pushing for the lead
—

Historical overview

Across the 35 sampled runnings of 1400m at Tamworth: Leaders (settle 1–3) — 12 of 35 winners (34.3% of winners, 14.3% strike, 1.01 A/E). No winner in this sample settled 11+ back. From the gates, Middle (5–9) — 19 of 35 winners (54.3% of winners, 12.3% strike, 1.09 A/E).

Narrowed to today's rail position (1400m · True, 16 races): Leaders (settle 1–3) — 7 of 16 winners (43.8% of winners, 15.6% strike, 1.1 A/E).

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 2 from 6 (33.3% strike, 0.58 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 17.1% of winners.

Historical leans

  • Leaders (settle 1–3) is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Middle (5–9) barriers lead the draw splits

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Full speed-map read and model picks arrive race morning, once final scratchings and track condition are known.

Distance stats

Distance
1400m · 35 races (35 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1281131.4%8.6%0.68
Middle (5–9)1541954.3%12.3%1.09
Wide (10+)82514.3%6.1%0.54

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)841234.3%14.3%1.01
On-pace (4–6)84925.7%10.7%0.69
Midfield (7–10)91720%7.7%0.90
Backmarkers (11+)2400%0%0.00
Unknown81720%8.6%0.82

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)625.7%33.3%0.58
Pop ($2–5)652057.1%30.8%1.04
Mid ($5–10)86720%8.1%0.62
Roughie (>$10)207617.1%2.9%0.69