Tamworth R1

12:14Barnson Tamworth (Bm58)

2100mBenchmark 58Rail: TrueEarly preview · published 2 July 14:42 AEST — updated race morning

Races1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8Track

Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (2 July 14:42 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Early model rankings — previewearly predictions · not final

Early model predictions only. These WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updates — the final day's predictions and commentary are published race morning.

Early model — previewEarly predictions — will change with final scratchings, jockeys and track conditionEntropy2.93top 3

Ranked 1st

2. Lots To Love

Olivia Dalton (4)

Ranked 2nd

1. Zou Big Boy

Jacob Stiff (2)

Ranked 3rd

8. Bill Peyto

Anna Weatherlake (1)

Predicted speed mapback → finish →

Backmarkers2

settle 11+

8Bill Peyto(1)

5Calzino(5)

Midfield5

settle 7–10

7Mimessi(3)

6Thundering Falcon(6)

10Cheeky Secrets(7)

9Got An Inspiration(8)

4Dipierdomenico(9)

On-pace2

settle 3–6

2Lots To Love(4)

3Hardyo(10)

Leaders1

pushing for the lead

1Zou Big Boy(2)

Historical overview

Across the 14 sampled runnings of 2100m at Tamworth: On-pace (settle 4–6) — 7 of 14 winners (50.0% of winners, 18.4% strike, 0.91 A/E). From the gates, Middle (5–9) — 6 of 14 winners (42.9% of winners, 10.3% strike, 0.74 A/E).

Today's going is not yet confirmed, so no going-specific split is shown — the broad sample above carries the read until race morning.

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 1 from 3 (33.3% strike, 0.58 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 7.1% of winners.

Historical leans

On-pace (settle 4–6) is the strongest settle band on the sample
Middle (5–9) barriers lead the draw splits

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Full speed-map read and model picks arrive race morning, once final scratchings and track condition are known.

Distance stats

Distance

2100m · 14 races (14 winners)

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	52	4	28.6%	7.7%	0.62
Middle (5–9)	58	6	42.9%	10.3%	0.74
Wide (10+)	24	4	28.6%	16.7%	1.57

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	39	3	21.4%	7.7%	0.62
On-pace (4–6)	38	7	50%	18.4%	0.91
Midfield (7–10)	37	3	21.4%	8.1%	1.05
Backmarkers (11+)	8	0	0%	0%	0.00
Unknown	12	1	7.1%	8.3%	0.82

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	3	1	7.1%	33.3%	0.58
Pop ($2–5)	28	7	50%	25%	0.83
Mid ($5–10)	31	5	35.7%	16.1%	1.20
Roughie (>$10)	72	1	7.1%	1.4%	0.36