HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← TamworthFriday 3 July 2026

Tamworth R6

15:09McDonald's Tamworth Country Boosted Hcp (C1)
1200mClass 1Rail: TrueEarly preview · published 2 July 14:42 AEST — updated race morning
Races12345678
Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (2 July 14:42 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.
Early model rankings — previewearly predictions · not final
Early model predictions only. These WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updates — the final day's predictions and commentary are published race morning.
Early model — previewEarly predictions — will change with final scratchings, jockeys and track conditionEntropy3.72top 3
Ranked 1st
1. Olufsen
Jacob Stiff (20)
Ranked 2nd
4. Fallen
Shannen Llewellyn (1)
Ranked 3rd
3. Jagerschnitzel
Rory Hutchings (3)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
Backmarkers3
settle 11+
8 Ephemeral(7)
15 Smart Lily(9)
9 Uno Fred(15)
Midfield11
settle 7–10
18 Eaglescliffe(4)
14 Sharpen The Knives(5)
17 Evony(8)
10 May Be Bubbles(11)
19 Etoiles(12)
2 Imperial State(13)
6 City Gold Speed(14)
11 Josephine(17)
5 Almost Maybe(18)
20 Risk Assessment(19)
1 Olufsen(20)
On-pace3
settle 3–6
4 Fallen(1)
13 Bit Of A Step(10)
7 Haras(16)
Leaders3
pushing for the lead
16 Ropewalker(2)
3 Jagerschnitzel(3)
12 Chasing Quivers(6)

Historical overview

Across the 46 sampled runnings of 1200m at Tamworth: Leaders (settle 1–3) — 15 of 46 winners (32.6% of winners, 13.5% strike, 1.0 A/E). No winner in this sample settled 11+ back. From the gates, Middle (5–9) — 21 of 46 winners (45.7% of winners, 10.6% strike, 0.9 A/E).

Narrowed to today's rail position (1200m · True, 21 races): Leaders (settle 1–3) — 10 of 21 winners (47.6% of winners, 18.5% strike, 1.2 A/E).

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 6 from 12 (50.0% strike, 0.82 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 17.4% of winners.

Historical leans

  • Leaders (settle 1–3) is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Middle (5–9) barriers lead the draw splits
  • Favourites underperform their market share at this trip on this sample

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Full speed-map read and model picks arrive race morning, once final scratchings and track condition are known.

Distance stats

Distance
1200m · 46 races (46 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1691839.1%10.7%0.88
Middle (5–9)1992145.7%10.6%0.90
Wide (10+)107715.2%6.5%0.59

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)1111532.6%13.5%1.00
On-pace (4–6)1111430.4%12.6%0.89
Midfield (7–10)117817.4%6.8%0.68
Backmarkers (11+)3800%0%0.00
Unknown98919.6%9.2%0.82

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)12613%50%0.82
Pop ($2–5)852247.8%25.9%0.87
Mid ($5–10)771021.7%13%0.95
Roughie (>$10)301817.4%2.7%0.63