Saturday 4 July 2026WAEarly preview · published 3 July 14:10 AEST — updated race morning

Belmont Park

TurfRail: +5m Entire14:3918:54
Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (3 July 14:10 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Meeting overview

Belmont Park in WA hosts a metro meeting on Turf. The rail is +5m Entire. There are 8 races scheduled from 14:39 to 18:54.

The card

Distances run from 1,000m to 2,000m across the card. The class mix is 8 other races. The card leans toward middle-distance races. The feature race of the day is Swan Draught - Aquanita Stakes.

What history says

Over 329 races from 2025-05-17 to 2026-07-01, market (sp) flags roughie (>$10) as the clearest profile, underperforming market expectation (0.65 A/E, 2.7% strike rate).

Jockey Holly Watson has 4 runners and a 12.7% local strike rate from 110 runs (1.32 A/E) and Trainer Simon Miller has 4 runners and a 18.6% local strike rate from 118 runs (1.10 A/E).

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Track profile: Belmont Park

329 races · 3526 runners · since 2025-05-17

Today’s angles — 2+ runners here today & A/E > 1

JJason Brown4 todayA/E 1.67TSummer Dickson2 todayA/E 1.63TMs R L Williams3 todayA/E 1.38TC & M Gangemi3 todayA/E 1.33JHolly Watson4 todayA/E 1.32JAustin Galati4 todayA/E 1.31TA G Durrant2 todayA/E 1.18TSimon Miller4 todayA/E 1.10JLisa Staples4 todayA/E 1.08TB S Seinor2 todayA/E 1.08JNatasha Faithfull4 todayA/E 1.04JTroy Turner4 todayA/E 1.04

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)130112939%9.9%0.77
Middle (5–9)150814945%9.9%0.86
Wide (10+)7175316%7.4%0.90

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)98410832.6%11%0.78
On-pace (4–6)97710632%10.8%0.89
Midfield (7–10)10969528.7%8.7%0.87
Backmarkers (11+)450216.3%4.7%0.68
Unknown1910.3%5.3%0.77

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)764212.7%55.3%0.93
Pop ($2–5)57715346.2%26.5%0.91
Mid ($5–10)7287923.9%10.9%0.81
Roughie (>$10)21425717.2%2.7%0.65

A/E = actual wins ÷ market-expected wins (Σ 1/SP). Above 1.0 (green) beats the market here; below 0.9 (red) lags. Strong bias day = a past meeting where one run-style won >65% of races (≥5 winners). “Today” = runners engaged here today.