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← Belmont ParkSaturday 4 July 2026

Belmont Park R8

18:54Think Pink Hope Heels And Horses (Bm72+)
1400mBenchMark 72+Rail: +5mEarly preview · published 3 July 14:12 AEST — updated race morning
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Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (3 July 14:12 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.
Early model rankings — previewearly predictions · not final
Early model predictions only. These WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updates — the final day's predictions and commentary are published race morning.
Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy3.48top 3
Ranked 1st
11. Auto Cruise
Clint Johnston-Porter (12)
Ranked 2nd
5. Battle Commander
Jade Mc Naught (5)
Ranked 3rd
10. The Merryman
Brad Parnham (6)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
Backmarkers3
settle 11+
13 Olympic Park(10)
14 Brave Spirit(13)
3 Memory Parade(15)
Midfield7
settle 7–10
12 Cold Shizzle(1)
4 Supersession(2)
6 Noteworthy(3)
10 The Merryman(6)
2 Lavalier(7)
16 Yarralea(9)
11 Auto Cruise(12)
On-pace3
settle 3–6
8 Zaza Rock(4)
15 Urquharts Bluff(8)
9 King Hit(16)
Leaders3
pushing for the lead
5 Battle Commander(5)
1 Lord Gannicus(11)
7 Exceltrain(14)

Historical overview

Across the 67 sampled runnings of 1400m at Belmont Park: Midfield (settle 7–10) — 23 of 67 winners (34.3% of winners, 9.4% strike, 1.01 A/E). From the gates, Middle (5–9) — 33 of 67 winners (49.3% of winners, 10.5% strike, 0.93 A/E).

Narrowed to today's rail position (1400m · +5m ±1m, 8 races): Midfield (settle 7–10) — 4 of 8 winners (50.0% of winners, 12.5% strike, 1.2 A/E).

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 6 from 17 (35.3% strike, 0.57 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 19.4% of winners.

Historical leans

  • Midfield (settle 7–10) is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Middle (5–9) barriers lead the draw splits
  • Favourites underperform their market share at this trip on this sample

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Full speed-map read and model picks arrive race morning, once final scratchings and track condition are known.

Distance stats

Distance
1400m · 67 races (67 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)2661928.4%7.1%0.64
Middle (5–9)3133349.3%10.5%0.93
Wide (10+)1881522.4%8%0.92

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)2012029.9%10%0.71
On-pace (4–6)1991725.4%8.5%0.76
Midfield (7–10)2442334.3%9.4%1.01
Backmarkers (11+)121710.4%5.8%0.86
Unknown200%0%—

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)1769%35.3%0.57
Pop ($2–5)1032740.3%26.2%0.90
Mid ($5–10)1642131.3%12.8%0.96
Roughie (>$10)4811319.4%2.7%0.68