HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← Belmont ParkSaturday 4 July 2026

Belmont Park R2

15:18TABtouch - Westspeed Platinum (Rs0ly)
1200mRst 0 Met Win-LYRail: +5mEarly preview · published 3 July 14:12 AEST — updated race morning
Races12345678
Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (3 July 14:12 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.
Early model rankings — previewearly predictions · not final
Early model predictions only. These WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updates — the final day's predictions and commentary are published race morning.
Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy2.88top 3
Ranked 1st
6. Mai Aloha
William Pike (9)
Ranked 2nd
4. Desert Dancing
Austin Galati (3)
Ranked 3rd
7. Millstee
Shaun O'Donnell (2)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
Backmarkers0
settle 11+
—
Midfield3
settle 7–10
2 Go Go Grommet(1)
7 Millstee(2)
4 Desert Dancing(3)
On-pace4
settle 3–6
1 Saturday Sesh(4)
5 Pure Obsession(5)
9 Romming Danger(6)
6 Mai Aloha(9)
Leaders2
pushing for the lead
8 God's Gate(7)
3 Girls Day Out(8)

Historical overview

Across the 85 sampled runnings of 1200m at Belmont Park: Leaders (settle 1–3) — 31 of 85 winners (36.0% of winners, 12.2% strike, 0.89 A/E). From the gates, Middle (5–9) — 43 of 85 winners (50.0% of winners, 10.6% strike, 0.98 A/E).

Narrowed to today's rail position (1200m · +5m ±1m, 10 races): On-pace (settle 4–6) — 5 of 10 winners (50.0% of winners, 16.7% strike, 1.53 A/E).

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 9 from 10 (90.0% strike, 1.48 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 17.4% of winners.

Historical leans

  • Leaders (settle 1–3) is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Middle (5–9) barriers lead the draw splits
  • Short-priced runners have historically held their market at this trip

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Full speed-map read and model picks arrive race morning, once final scratchings and track condition are known.

Distance stats

Distance
1200m · 85 races (86 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)3343034.9%9%0.69
Middle (5–9)4044350%10.6%0.98
Wide (10+)1851315.1%7%0.83

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)2553136%12.2%0.89
On-pace (4–6)2552529.1%9.8%0.81
Midfield (7–10)3022933.7%9.6%0.93
Backmarkers (11+)11111.2%0.9%0.16

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)10910.5%90%1.48
Pop ($2–5)1754754.7%26.9%0.91
Mid ($5–10)1701517.4%8.8%0.66
Roughie (>$10)5681517.4%2.6%0.66